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Decisiones en Incertidumbre

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Decisiones en Incertidumbre

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About this activity

Elige estrategias ante escenarios inciertos.

Created by

Barron Torres Paola Vianey
Barron Torres Paola Vianey
Mexico

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Decisiones en Incertidumbre
 

Unscramble Letters

Decisiones en IncertidumbreOnline version

Elige estrategias ante escenarios inciertos.

by Barron Torres Paola Vianey
1

Imprevisibilidad del entorno externo que puede alterar decisiones estratégicas ante cambios de mercado, políticas o clima.

  
  
2

Variabilidad de preferencias de clientes, competencia y tecnología que dificulta prever condiciones comerciales.

     
  
  
3

Ambigüedad sobre la implementación de planes y ajustes operativos.

  
  
4

Metodología para evaluar posibles futuros y sus impactos para planificar respuestas.

     
  
  
5

Herramienta gráfica que representa alternativas, estados y resultados para elegir.

     
  
  
6

Estrategia optimista que considera el mejor desenlace posible de cada opción.

7

Enfoque pesimista que busca la mejor de los peores resultados.

8

Asume igual probabilidad para todos los estados de la naturaleza y promedia resultados.

9

Uso de futuros, opciones y swaps para mitigar riesgos ante la incertidumbre.

10

calcula el rendimiento promedio considerando probabilidades.

     
  
  
 
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