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Exercice 10 : Prévision

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Exercice 10 : Prévision

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Calcule et raisonne à partir des données. Attention aux unités.
Ventes des 4 dernières semaines : 80, 100, 90, 110 u
Coefficient de saisonnalité décembre = ×1,4
Promo attendue : coefficient ×1,5
Délai fournisseur = 5 jours ; ventes = 20 u/jour ; stock de sécurité = 30 u
Stock disponible = 60 u ; en transit = 40 u ; besoin prévisionnel = 300 u

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Exercice 10 : Prévision
 

Exercice 10 : PrévisionOnline version

Calcule et raisonne à partir des données. Attention aux unités. Ventes des 4 dernières semaines : 80, 100, 90, 110 u Coefficient de saisonnalité décembre = ×1,4 Promo attendue : coefficient ×1,5 Délai fournisseur = 5 jours ; ventes = 20 u/jour ; stock de sécurité = 30 u Stock disponible = 60 u ; en transit = 40 u ; besoin prévisionnel = 300 u

by Grimaud
1

1) Prévision de base (moyenne des 4 semaines) = ?

Réponse écrite

2

2) Prévision de décembre (base × saisonnalité) = ?

Réponse écrite

3

3) Prévision promotionnelle (base × 1,5) = ?

Réponse écrite

4

4) Stock d’alerte = ?

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5

5) Quantité à commander = ?

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6

une moyenne mobile lisse les variations.

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7

une promo mal anticipée provoque souvent une rupture.

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8

un délai variable justifie d’augmenter le stock de sécurité.

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9

9) Quel arbitrage clé en approvisionnement ?

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10

10) Cite les 3 scénarios à construire.

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